Daily Newsletter

08 August 2023

Daily Newsletter

08 August 2023

Tyson not ruling out further closures as protein headwinds persist

The company said the current market environment is likely to stay difficult.

Andy Coyne

US meat giant Tyson Foods could consider closing more plant closures as it continues to face pressures across its chicken, beef and pork operations.

Yesterday (7 August), Tyson announced it was shutting four chicken plants in a bid to reduce costs against a backdrop of slowing demand and falling profits.

In a call with analysts after its 2023 third-quarter financial results were reported, CEO Donnie King was asked about whether other closures are on the cards.

He said: “We’re continuing to evaluate everything as we automate and modernise these assets. And so, we’ll continue to look.”

He added: “We’re executing a multi-point plan focused on efficiency and modernisation, including taking a much closer look at our cost structure across the business to drive operational excellence.”

King described the newly announced closures, and those announced earlier in the year, as “decisive actions that we’re taking to successfully navigate the current market environment”.

He suggested the trading environment is likely to stay difficult across its main protein segments.

“Market conditions in chicken are still challenged with commodity prices across most cuts remaining significantly lower, compared to last year,” he said.

He added: “The beef industry will likely continue facing headwinds. As you may have seen in the latest USDA cattle inventory report, herd liquidation continues to tighten supply, leading to higher cattle cost, narrowing spreads and difficult export market conditions.”

Tyson has also said reduced demand for beef has made it difficult to pass on higher costs to consumers despite steep inflation on labour, grain and other inputs.

And, on pork, King said: “Pork remains under pressure across the industry and we continue to see headwinds there with both our internal live production and our external sourced hog supply.”

He also pointed to increased feed costs amongst other headwinds.

Beef revenue was flat year-over-year, while pork revenue was down 18% and chicken sales declined 3.5%.

CFO John Tyson told analysts: “We would expect to see chicken recover most quickly, pork is a little different and then, the beef cycle and those dynamics I think are well documented.”

The company declined to say how many jobs will be impacted by its decision to close chicken plants at North Little Rock, Arkansas, Corydon, Indiana and Dexter and Noel in Missouri but news agency Reuters has estimated close to 3,000 people are employed at the sites.

King told analysts: “The facilities that we’re closing, just to give a little colour about them, they’re typically smaller in scale and in need of major capital to make them viable.”

The plants are expected to close in late 2023 or early 2024 with production moved to other facilities.

The four facilities account for about 10% of Tyson’s chicken-slaughter capacity, John Tyson told analysts. The Jimmy Dean and Hillshire Farm brands owner estimates total charges of $300m to $400m from the closures.

Arkansas-based Tyson reported third-quarter sales of $13.14bn, down 3% year-on-year, while its adjusted operating income fell by 82% to $179m. The current quarter also included a goodwill impairment charge of $448m.

Analyst Alexia Howard, of AllianceBernstein, pointed out the results “came in below expectations”.

John Tyson still anticipates fiscal 2023 revenue in a range of $53bn to $54bn. King told analysts: “We remain fully committed to our vision of delivering sustainable top-line growth and margin improvement over the long run.”

He added: “We’ve been through market cycles before and I’m confident that we have the right strategy, seasoned leadership and team members in place to emerge stronger from this one.”

Generative AI remains an untapped potential across the consumer industry

GlobalData estimates the total AI market will be worth $909 billion in 2030, growing at a CAGR of 35.2% between 2022 and 2030. The consumer goods, foodservice, and packaging sectors are undergoing digital transformation, accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic and changing consumer preferences. AI can help companies operating in these sectors by significantly reducing costs and production times. In Nestlé's 2022 full-year results, the company announced a renewed focus on digitalization to drive growth. Financial and reputational pressures associated with supply chain disruptions and sustainability concerns are also driving interest in the digitalization of supply chains. Data science and ML are strong investments across all areas. However, the sectors cannot stop at AI-powered data analytics applications. They must also explore computer vision (CV), smart robots, AI sensors that automate manufacturing and distribution logistics, and generative AI tools that increase efficiency across corporate departments and customer service operations and enable innovation in product design. For the most part, the consumer goods, foodservice, and packaging sectors will not play a significant role in creating and developing AI hardware or platforms. Instead, these sectors will help scale up the adoption of AI technologies, such as CV, conversational platforms, and smart robots. This adoption will be driven by the financial benefits and potential cost savings AI automation delivers across global supply chains.

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