Daily Newsletter

09 August 2023

Daily Newsletter

09 August 2023

Private-label supplier TreeHouse Foods to scale down price increases

Own-label in the US is “consistently outperforming national brands” – CEO Steven Oakland.

Simon Harvey August 08 2023

Private-label manufacturer TreeHouse Foods has joined some of its branded grocery peers in signalling a “step down” in pricing through the remainder of the year.

Despite putting in place additional pricing of 11.2% in the second quarter to 30 June, chairman, president and CEO Steven Oakland said own-label is still “performing significantly better” than branded on-shelf as the consumer remains “cautious” in the current cost-of-living environment.

Private label is “consistently outperforming national brands”, the boss of the largest own-label supplier in the US said in a results presentation yesterday (7 August).

“We have purposefully positioned Treehouse at the intersection of two incredibly powerful long-term consumer trends – the growth of private-label groceries in North America and the consumer shift towards snacking,” Oakland added following last year’s disposal of most of its meal preparations business.

Grocers are also promoting private label as a means to retain customers as “consumers experience pressure from increasing shelf prices”, and that trend is expected to continue, he said.

Second-quarter sales rose 4.1% in reported terms and 4% on an organic basis to $843.6m. While volume/mix dropped, the decline was skewed toward front-loading orders in the opening three months of the year as TreeHouse Foods’ service levels continued to improve from pandemic-linked restraints.

Similarly, as year-to-date sales increased 9.8% (10% organic) to $1.7bn, volume/mix fell 3.9%. Pricing was up 13.9%.

Oakland also noted TreeHouse Foods exited “some lower margin business” during the quarter and volumes should now improve.

“This quarter is sort of the last quarter where we’ll lap some of those exits and distribution losses. We see a line of sight towards more volume growth in the second half of the year, starting in Q3,” he said.

Second-quarter adjusted EBITDA climbed 43% to $76.4m. Net income turned to a positive $21.7m as TreeHouse Foods worked through the disposal of meal preparations, compared to a $27.3m loss a year earlier.

TreeHouse Foods’ sales growth outlook for the full year was adjusted higher to 7.5% to 9.5%, from 6-8% previously. The guidance range for adjusted EBITDA was narrowed to $360-370m, compared to $345-365m.

CFO Patrick O’Donnell said: “With regard to the remainder of the year, we expect our top-line growth to be driven primarily by volume and mix. It’s worth noting that the pricing contribution will step down in the second half of the year as we lap additional pricing actions taken last year.”

Generative AI remains an untapped potential across the consumer industry

GlobalData estimates the total AI market will be worth $909 billion in 2030, growing at a CAGR of 35.2% between 2022 and 2030. The consumer goods, foodservice, and packaging sectors are undergoing digital transformation, accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic and changing consumer preferences. AI can help companies operating in these sectors by significantly reducing costs and production times. In Nestlé's 2022 full-year results, the company announced a renewed focus on digitalization to drive growth. Financial and reputational pressures associated with supply chain disruptions and sustainability concerns are also driving interest in the digitalization of supply chains. Data science and ML are strong investments across all areas. However, the sectors cannot stop at AI-powered data analytics applications. They must also explore computer vision (CV), smart robots, AI sensors that automate manufacturing and distribution logistics, and generative AI tools that increase efficiency across corporate departments and customer service operations and enable innovation in product design. For the most part, the consumer goods, foodservice, and packaging sectors will not play a significant role in creating and developing AI hardware or platforms. Instead, these sectors will help scale up the adoption of AI technologies, such as CV, conversational platforms, and smart robots. This adoption will be driven by the financial benefits and potential cost savings AI automation delivers across global supply chains.

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